So, How Many Electric Cars Will There be in 2020? Analysts are All Over the Place

Short answer: anywhere from 2-10% of new car sales will be plug-ins by 2020, but it seems there is not a single analyst who can agree on that number without caveats. Real answer: nobody knows, but they like to make a lot of noise about it and project confidence that they do. I could do that. Maybe I should be an analyst? Seems they make a lot of money and they’re always in demand.

Anyway, Nissan says that number will be 10% and Tesla also thinks it will be in that range. Another analysis, done by Deloitte Consulting, was released today that says EVs will only be between 2% and 5% of the market by 2020.

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